Long-Term US Power Price Forecasting

Long-term power price forecasts underpin nearly every major decision in US energy: asset acquisitions, PPA pricing, financing models, retirement decisions and trading strategies. Yet the forecasting landscape is opaque — a mix of consultancies, data platforms and AI-driven entrants, each with different methodologies, horizons and delivery formats.

This section maps that landscape. We compare the providers of long-term wholesale power, capacity and REC price forecasts, explain the methodologies behind them (fundamentals, stochastic, hybrid and AI-based), and unpack the concepts — merchant curves, scenario decks, basis risk — that forecasts are built on.

What you'll find here

• Provider comparisons — who produces 10–20 year forecasts for US power markets, what they cover and how they differ.
• Methodology explainers — fundamentals vs stochastic models, what a merchant curve is, and how bull/base/bear scenario planning works.
• Practical guidance — how trading desks, developers and investors actually consume and stress-test long-term price decks.

Every article cites its sources and carries a visible update date.